Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro Jr. stated that China’s assertive actions in the Indo-Pacific are part of long-term strategic plans and not a reaction to U.S. leadership or policies. Speaking at the Reuters NEXT Asia summit in Singapore, Teodoro said China’s behavior stems from its own ambitions to dominate the region, especially the South China Sea.

“The aggressiveness of China has been years in the making,” he said. “It’s not about who’s in the White House — it’s about their own expansionist objectives.”

While acknowledging that U.S. policies play a role in regional dynamics, Teodoro emphasized that Beijing’s actions are rooted in its internal strategy. “Their actions are pre-determined, regardless of U.S. leadership,” he added.

Despite mounting tensions, especially after a 2024 incident where a Filipino sailor was injured, Teodoro downplayed the likelihood of war. “I think the prospect of war is remote, though it depends on China’s internal situation.”

He also reaffirmed Manila’s commitment to bolstering defense through military modernization and stronger diplomatic efforts. The Philippines is investing in fighter jets and enhancing existing platforms, though submarines are not a current priority.

Teodoro defended ASEAN’s response, noting that regional concern over China’s actions is evident in ongoing efforts to establish a South China Sea code of conduct. “It’s clear ASEAN countries are uneasy. If they weren’t, we wouldn’t be working on this agreement,” he said.

Since President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. assumed office, the Philippines has taken a firmer stance against China while strengthening ties with allies like the U.S., Australia, and Japan. Teodoro said this policy has broad public support and will be hard to undo. “There’s a growing distrust — not of China itself, but of its government’s actions,” he concluded.

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